Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
100% / 100%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1811193
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
63% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: +17.5pp
66% → 83%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 6, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this