ForecastMind
Markets/Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?
Share on X

Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?

Closes June 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

25%YES
75%NO

Volume 24h

$1K

Liquidity

$3K

Bid / Ask

24% / 26%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

25%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1797300

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

25% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

25% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 25%99%
Buy YES@ 25¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 75¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this