Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
Closes March 29, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$488
Liquidity
$612
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
0.70pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
0% YES
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: +5.5pp
4% → 9%
Mar 26, 2026
Peak probability
9% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
2% YES (-1.3pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-25.9%
EV per $ wagered
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $488 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.70 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692254
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Venue Divergence
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