Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$739K
Liquidity
$954K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $739K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1713151
This event has 4 active outcome markets. RCD Mallorca: 100%, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 22%, Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5): 0%.
RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-04?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
71%
Apr 4, 2026
Biggest move: +58.0pp
13% → 71%
Apr 4, 2026
Current
71% YES (+58.0pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this