Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?
Closes April 24, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.0pp above current market price; market at 14% may be underpriced with macro signals showing S&P -0.2% ↓, VIX -1.3% ↓, 10Y yield +6bps ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
13% / 16%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
15%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-11). "Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1911606
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
14% YES
Apr 11, 2026
Current
14% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 11, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this