Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Closes May 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$300
Liquidity
$11K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
1%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
1% YES
Mar 18, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 19, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $300 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on May 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/922770
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