Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%This market holds relevance as the Scottish Liberal Democrats' 0% probability of winning the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election, alongside related markets also trading at 0%, suggests a consensus of extremely low electoral prospects. The broad absence of value indicates a significant underestimation of potential coalition dynamics or emergent political forces within the Scottish context, demanding further analytical scrutiny.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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18 deadline markets. Combined YES = 250% — 150pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
Scottish Liberal Democrats
Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $129K has been traded. The market closes on May 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/922770