Markets/Will Solana reach $120 in March?

Will Solana reach $120 in March?

Data as of Mar 23, 2026, 09:42 AM UTC

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

$4K

Liquidity

$30K

Bid / Ask

2% / 2%

Spread

0.10pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+25.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-35.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 1, 2026

Trough probability

5% YES — lowest in period

Mar 14, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

52%

Mar 1, 2026

Biggest move: -43.5pp

52% → 9%

Mar 1, 2026

Current

14% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 2%99%

Buy YES@ 2¢

Edge

+25.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+25.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Solana reach $120 in March?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will Solana reach $120 in March?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1473196