Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Closes May 7, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$43K
Bid / Ask
9% / 11%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
10%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 10%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on May 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1540846
This event has 4 active outcome markets. Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semif: 91%, Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions Leagu: 86%, Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League s: 16%.
Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
10% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Current
10% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this