ForecastMind
Markets/Will Stephanie Linnartz be the next CEO of Lululemon?
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Will Stephanie Linnartz be the next CEO of Lululemon?

Closes December 31, 2026

Polymarket Price

30%YES
70%NO

Volume 24h

$3K

Liquidity

$369

Bid / Ask

1% / 59%

Spread

58.30pp

Expert Signal

30%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Stephanie Linnartz be the next CEO of Lululemon?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 58.30 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will Stephanie Linnartz be the next CEO of Lululemon?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/916398

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.6pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Apr 10, 2026

Current

31% YES (-0.3pp recent)

Apr 10, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 30%99%
Buy YES@ 30¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 70¢
Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.2%
Buy NO—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this