Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?
Closes December 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
16% / 18%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
17%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
20% YES
Mar 14, 2026
Current
18% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 19, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on December 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1429663
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Venue Divergence
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