Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026
40%YES
60%NO
Vol 24h$995
Liquidity$2K
Bid / Ask34% / 47%
Spread12.90pp
ClosesJun 30, 2026
Wikipedia Attention
Price History · 30 days
Export CSVPrice History
MarketFM Estimate
+10.8pp
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $995 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 12.90pp. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-22). "Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1846800