Markets/Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:29 AM UTC

Closes June 13, 2026

Polymarket Price

38%YES

62%NO

Volume 24h

$802

Liquidity

$44K

Bid / Ask

37% / 39%

Spread

2.30pp

Expert Signal

38%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+8.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Mar 2, 2026

Biggest move: +5.7pp

28% → 34%

Mar 10, 2026

Peak probability

34% YES — highest in period

Mar 10, 2026

Current

33% YES (-0.7pp recent)

Mar 17, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 38%99%

Buy YES@ 38¢

-0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 62¢

Edge

+0.2%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.4%

½ Kelly0.2%

Buy NO—+0.2% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?" at 38% YES / 62% NO. In the last 24 hours, $802 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 38%. The bid-ask spread is 2.30 percentage points. The market closes on June 13, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 38%, NO 62%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/564200