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Markets/Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
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Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?

Market Price

35%YES
65%NO

FM Estimate

32%

Gap Signal

↓Overpriced
2.9pp
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$19K
Bid / Ask33% / 36%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesNov 3, 2026
Macro fundamentals-5.5pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp

medium confidence · 2 signals

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets12 markets

12 deadline markets. Combined YES = 587% — 487pp excess suggests collective overpricing.

the Democratic Party

Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat

89%
the Republican Party

Republican Party win the FL-01 House seat

88%

the Democratic Party

Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat

35%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

No historical data yet

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?" at 35% YES / 65% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on November 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-30). "Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 35%, NO 65%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1284800