Markets/Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 12:31 AM UTC

Closes March 31, 2027

Polymarket Price

3%YES

97%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$124K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.20pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence0%

methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+0.2pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Mar 12, 2026

Current

3% YES (+0.2pp recent)

Mar 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 3%99%

Buy YES@ 3¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢

Edge

+0.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%

½ Kelly4.5%

Buy NO—+0.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2027.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1357383

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