Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$24K
Bid / Ask
87% / 89%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
88%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 30?
March
20 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
69% YES
Mar 29, 2026
Biggest move: +11.5pp
69% → 81%
Mar 29, 2026
Current
87% YES (+4.0pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-4.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?" at 88% YES / 12% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 88%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 88%, NO 12%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705587
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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