Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?
Closes March 27, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$67K
Liquidity
$30K
Bid / Ask
93% / 94%
Spread
0.50pp
Expert Signal
93%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
March
12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
78% YES
Mar 20, 2026
Trough probability
50% YES — lowest in period
Mar 20, 2026
Biggest move: +34.5pp
51% → 85%
Mar 21, 2026
Peak probability
99% YES — highest in period
Mar 26, 2026
Current
92% YES (+0.2pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.4%
EV per $ wagered
-5.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $67K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 0.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662876
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Entity Hub
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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