Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?
Closed March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$509K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $509K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1673002
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
50% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 28, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
42%
Mar 22, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 23, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
49%
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -42.0pp
60% → 18%
Mar 27, 2026
Peak probability
89% YES — highest in period
Mar 25, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this