Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?
Closed April 7, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +1.1pp above current market price; market at 7% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.7% ↑, ETH +1.0% ↑, S&P +0.4% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$897K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $897K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-10). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1808037
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: -11.0pp
19% → 8%
Apr 2, 2026
Peak probability
23% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this