Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
Market Price
This market's 0% price reflects a significant decline of 7 percentage points over the past week, driven by its failure to breach the $82,000 threshold. The strong performance of related markets, such as the 100% likelihood of Bitcoin exceeding $64,000 on April 8, suggests a divergence in investor sentiment regarding near-term versus longer-term price expectations.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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36 deadline markets. Combined YES = 1933% — 1833pp excess suggests collective overpricing.
price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3
Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80pp. The market closes on May 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-03). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2086866