Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 7?
Closes April 7, 2026
Markets appear correctly priced with macro signals showing BTC -0.1% ↓, ETH +0.2% ↑, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
2% / 3%
Spread
0.60pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 7?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 0.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 7, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 7?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1807997
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 64%, price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 20%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 16%.
price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 6, 2026
Current
3% YES (-0.1pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+15.4%
EV per $ wagered
-0.4%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this