Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 22?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
0% / 1%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?
March
15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
48% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 21, 2026
Biggest move: -42.8pp
48% → 5%
Mar 15, 2026
Current
1% YES (+0.1pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 22?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598692
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
Markets whose prices move with this one.
Event Cluster
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