Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
73% / 74%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
73%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5?" at 73% YES / 27% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 73%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 5?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 73%, NO 27%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1777514
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,0: 73%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 12%, price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,0: 8%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~5%.
price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
80% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
78% YES (-0.5pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.7%
EV per $ wagered
-1.8%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this