Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$19K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
4% / 4%
Spread
0.40pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and…
March
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Current
5% YES (-1.3pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.7%
EV per $ wagered
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628564
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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