Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +3.3pp above current market price; market at 30% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +2.9% ↑, ETH +2.8% ↑, S&P -0.2% ↓ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$12K
Liquidity
$17K
Bid / Ask
26% / 26%
Spread
0.10pp
Expert Signal
30%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 6?" at 30% YES / 70% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 30%. The bid-ask spread is 0.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 30%, NO 70%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792463
This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 51%, price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 30%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 4%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~15%.
price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Biggest move: +9.4pp
11% → 20%
Apr 6, 2026
Current
20% YES (+9.4pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this