Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$16K
Liquidity
$36K
Bid / Ask
46% / 48%
Spread
2.00pp
Expert Signal
48%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and…
March
6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
39% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Current
47% YES (+2.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?" at 48% YES / 52% NO. In the last 24 hours, $16K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 48%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 48%, NO 52%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1628568
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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