Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 01:35 AM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

22%YES

79%NO

Volume 24h

$14K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

20% / 21%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

22%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and…

March

Full event →

between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 27?

50%

between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?

24%

between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?

22%

between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?

between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 27?

between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27?

between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?

7 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

23% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Current

19% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 22%99%

Buy YES@ 22¢

Edge

+2.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.6%

½ Kelly0.3%

Buy NO@ 79¢

-0.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+2.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?" at 22% YES / 78% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 22%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 22%, NO 78%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662856

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Venue Divergence

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Correlated Markets

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