Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?
Closes April 8, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.9pp above current market price; market at 31% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.6% ↓, ETH +0.1% ↑, S&P +2.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$18K
Bid / Ask
30% / 32%
Spread
2.20pp
Expert Signal
31%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 2.20 percentage points. The market closes on April 8, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1817345
This event has 6 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,0: 57%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 31%, price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,0: 11%.
price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on Apri
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
9% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +19.6pp
11% → 30%
Apr 7, 2026
Peak probability
39% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
25% YES (-5.9pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
+0.2%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this