ForecastMind
Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?
Share on X

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?

17%YES
83%NO
Vol 24h$8K
Liquidity$18K
Bid / Ask21% / 23%
Spread2.00pp
ClosesApr 16, 2026

FM Estimate

19%

Market Price

17%
↓ Underpriced 1.9pp
Macro fundamentals+1.9pp
low confidence · 1 signals
Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,0: 61%, price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,0: 18%, price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,0: 17%. Implied probability of none resolving YES: ~3%.

Price History · 30 days

Export CSV

Price History

+0.3pp

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 17%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00pp. The market closes on April 16, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-16). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 16?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1928757