Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 21?

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 21?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 02:41 AM UTC

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

100%YES

0%NO

Volume 24h

$23K

Liquidity

$50K

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-1.0pp

confidence40%

methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?

March

Full event →

28 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

100% YES

Mar 20, 2026

Current

100% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 99%99%

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EV per $ wagered

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EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 21?" at 100% YES / 0% NO. In the last 24 hours, $23K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 21?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 100%, NO 0%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1588537

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