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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

99%YES
1%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

98% / 99%

Spread

0.80pp

Expert Signal

98%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-0.6pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?" at 99% YES / 1% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The bid-ask spread is 0.80 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 99%, NO 1%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831384

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+18.3pp

Key Moments

First recorded

80% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Biggest move: +6.5pp

82% → 89%

Apr 7, 2026

Current

98% YES (+0.2pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 99%99%
Buy YES@ 99¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly28.6%
½ Kelly14.3%
Buy NO@ 1¢

-28.6%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 28.6%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this