Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?
Closes March 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
82% / 83%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
86%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 30?
March
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Mar 30, 2026
Biggest move: +15.5pp
58% → 74%
Mar 30, 2026
Current
78% YES (+4.5pp recent)
Mar 30, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?" at 81% YES / 19% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 86%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 81%, NO 19%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692105
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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