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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 4?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 4?

Closes April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES
98%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

2% / 3%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-14.9pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 4?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1762291

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 4?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 4?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on April 4?: 100%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-0.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

3% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Current

2% YES (-0.3pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 2%99%
Buy YES@ 2¢

-14.9%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 98¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly14.9%
½ Kelly7.4%
Buy NO+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 14.9%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this