Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
90% / 91%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
95%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?
March
29 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
88% YES
Mar 21, 2026
Current
90% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 21, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-5.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?" at 91% YES / 9% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 95%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 91%, NO 9%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598703
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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