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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?

Closes March 29, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$25K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

3% / 3%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market-32.2pp
confidence40%
methodbayesian

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Current

2% YES (-1.3pp recent)

Mar 29, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢
Edge

+1.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%
½ Kelly0.0%
Buy NO@ 97¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $25K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 29, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-29). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 29?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1683294