Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
Closes April 2, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$8K
Liquidity
$21K
Bid / Ask
16% / 19%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
12%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?" at 17% YES / 83% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 12%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 2, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 17%, NO 83%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1731413
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 2?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 2?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
17% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -5.5pp
24% → 18%
Apr 1, 2026
Peak probability
24% YES — highest in period
Apr 1, 2026
Current
18% YES (-5.5pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this