Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
Closes April 6, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +0.7pp above current market price; market at 10% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +0.3% ↑, ETH +1.1% ↑, S&P +0.1% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$21K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
9% / 11%
Spread
1.60pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?" at 10% YES / 90% NO. In the last 24 hours, $21K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.60 percentage points. The market closes on April 6, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-06). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 10%, NO 90%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1792461
This event has 11 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 6?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 6?: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 6?: 100%.
price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 6?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
7% YES
Apr 5, 2026
Current
5% YES (-2.3pp recent)
Apr 6, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-4.3%
EV per $ wagered
+0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this