Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?
Closes April 9, 2026
ForecastMind sees this +6.8pp above current market price; market at 8% may be underpriced with macro signals showing BTC +1.4% ↑, ETH +3.6% ↑, S&P +2.9% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$4K
Liquidity
$22K
Bid / Ask
6% / 8%
Spread
2.10pp
Expert Signal
3%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $4K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 2.10 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831399
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +5.8pp
5% → 11%
Apr 8, 2026
Peak probability
11% YES — highest in period
Apr 8, 2026
Current
8% YES (-0.7pp recent)
Apr 8, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this