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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 9?
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Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 9?

Closes April 9, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES
99%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$21K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

2%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+100.0pp
confidence22%
methodbayesian

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 9?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on April 9, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-08). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 9?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1831403

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Apr 7, 2026

Current

2% YES (+0.1pp recent)

Apr 8, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 1%99%
Buy YES@ 1¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this