Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?
Closes March 31, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
10% / 14%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
14%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?" at 14% YES / 86% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 14%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 31, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-31). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 31?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 14%, NO 86%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1705584
This event has 10 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 31: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 31: 100%, price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 31: 99%.
price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
8% YES
Mar 31, 2026
Biggest move: +13.0pp
12% → 25%
Mar 31, 2026
Peak probability
25% YES — highest in period
Mar 31, 2026
Current
18% YES (-7.0pp recent)
Mar 31, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-3.4%
EV per $ wagered
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this