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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?

Closes April 1, 2026

Polymarket Price

15%YES
85%NO

Volume 24h

$5K

Liquidity

$15K

Bid / Ask

13% / 16%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

15%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?" at 15% YES / 85% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 15%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 15%, NO 85%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717480

Outcome Markets8 markets

This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 80%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 15%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 4%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

12% YES

Apr 1, 2026

Biggest move: +8.5pp

13% → 22%

Apr 1, 2026

Peak probability

22% YES — highest in period

Apr 1, 2026

Current

13% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 1, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 15%99%
Buy YES@ 15¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 85¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this