Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

2%YES

98%NO

Volume 24h

$12K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

1% / 3%

Spread

1.20pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+5.3pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and…

March

Full event →

between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?

51%

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 25?

between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 25?

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 25?

between $2,500 and $2,600 on March 25?

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-2.4pp

Key Moments

First recorded

5% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

3% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 2%99%

Buy YES@ 2¢

Edge

+5.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%

½ Kelly0.1%

Buy NO@ 98¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+5.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $12K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.20 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1640443

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