Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 24?

Market Price

0%YES

100%NO

Vol 24h$7K

Liquidity$101K

ClosedApr 24, 2026

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets7 markets

7 deadline markets, spanning the full probability space.

price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,40

price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on Ap

100%

price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20

price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on Ap

—

price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,70

price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on Ap

—

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-0.4pp

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 24?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-24). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 24?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2007071