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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 3?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 3?

Closes April 3, 2026

Polymarket Price

8%YES
93%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

7% / 8%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

8%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 3?" at 8% YES / 92% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 8%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-03). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 3?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 8%, NO 92%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1743686

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 92%, price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 8%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 0%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-4.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

13% YES

Apr 3, 2026

Biggest move: -5.0pp

14% → 9%

Apr 3, 2026

Current

8% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Apr 3, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 8%99%
Buy YES@ 8¢
Edge

+6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 93¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+6.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this