Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30?

Data as of Mar 30, 2026, 03:04 PM UTC

Closes March 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES

94%NO

Volume 24h

$17K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

2% / 5%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and…

March

Full event →

between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30?

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30?

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 30?

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-4.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

10% YES

Mar 30, 2026

Biggest move: -11.3pp

17% → 6%

Mar 30, 2026

Peak probability

17% YES — highest in period

Mar 30, 2026

Current

5% YES (-1.3pp recent)

Mar 30, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 6%99%

Buy YES@ 6¢

Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.1%

½ Kelly0.0%

Buy NO@ 94¢

-0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30?" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-30). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 30?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1692191

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