Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?
Closes April 1, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$10K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
4% / 5%
Spread
1.40pp
Expert Signal
5%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?" at 5% YES / 95% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 5%. The bid-ask spread is 1.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-01). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 5%, NO 95%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717484
This event has 8 active outcome markets. price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,20: 80%, price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,10: 16%, price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30: 5%.
price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
15% YES
Apr 1, 2026
Biggest move: -6.8pp
14% → 7%
Apr 1, 2026
Current
6% YES (-1.4pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-2.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this