Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?

Data as of Mar 22, 2026, 05:15 AM UTC

Closes March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

1%YES

99%NO

Volume 24h

$31K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

1% / 1%

Spread

0.40pp

Expert Signal

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+81.8pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?

March

Full event →

between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 22?

66%

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 22?

29%

$2,400 in March?

28%

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 22?

between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 22?

between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 22?

above $2,300 on March 22?

$2,400 March 16-22?

between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 22?

between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 22?

between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 22?

12 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.7pp

Key Moments

First recorded

0% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Current

1% YES (+0.7pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 1%99%

Buy YES@ 1¢

-9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 99¢

Edge

+0.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly9.1%

½ Kelly4.5%

Buy NO—+0.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 9.1%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $31K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 22?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1598806

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