Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?

Market Price

0%YES

100%NO

FM Estimate

51%

Vol 24h$11K

Liquidity$0

ClosedApr 28, 2026

Macro fundamentals+1.1pp

low confidence · 1 signals

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

MarketFM Estimate

-0.6pp

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The market's precipitous 15pp decline over seven trading sessions reflects mounting uncertainty around the diplomatic timeline. Cross-venue signals show institutional venues pricing 6pp below Polymarket.

The FM model flags a structural overpricing: with less than 10 days to expiry and no confirmed diplomatic channel active, the Bayesian update pushes the model estimate well below current market price. Three correlated outcome markets collectively imply only a 23% chance any deadline resolves YES.

Watch for: official bilateral statements, foreign ministry press briefings, and whether the longer-dated outcome markets begin to converge as a leading indicator of changed expectations.

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

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Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets6 markets

6 deadline markets, spanning the full probability space.

price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,30

price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on Ap

100%

price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,60

price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on Ap

—

price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,50

price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on Ap

—

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-05-02). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 28?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2044462