Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on April 1?
Closed April 1, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -0.7pp below current market price; market at 50% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.7% ↓, ETH -1.5% ↓, S&P +1.0% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$28K
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on April 1?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $28K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on April 1, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-05). "Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on April 1?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1717472
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
2% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Biggest move: +42.3pp
2% → 45%
Mar 27, 2026
Peak probability
45% YES — highest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 1, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this