Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
Market Price
FM Estimate
1%The current 0% price for the Progressive Party winning the 2026 South Korean local elections is significant given the broad uncertainty observed across diverse related markets, ranging from the 48% S&P 500 Futures to the 1% Colombian Chamber of Representatives. This 0% outcome, contrasted with the 100% certainty of Lille OSC winning on a specific date, suggests a complete lack of market conviction regarding the Progressive Party's prospects.
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
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Price History · 30 days
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. The bid-ask spread is 0.10pp. The market closes on June 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-05-05). "Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/703989