Markets/Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Data as of Mar 21, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC

Closes April 30, 2026

Polymarket Price

23%YES

77%NO

Volume 24h

$7K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

21% / 25%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

23%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Mar 14, 2026

Current

23% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 23%99%

Buy YES@ 23¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 77¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 30, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1322972